Blurrykookaburr Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 Friday night I got my second and third krampus sack while farming feathers and last night I got my fourth and fifth. I was farming on forest turf surrounded by grass turf with a scarecrow set up. May help others to farm krampus faster, because I was getting tons of different types of birds spawning depending on where I stood. No I did not spawn any of these sacks in either. Link to comment https://forums.kleientertainment.com/forums/topic/85530-my-rng-is-beyond-believable-lately/ Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chromo Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 Wow man, that's really cool! I did the math and even if you killed 272 Krampii (One for each day on the server) there is only a ~42% chance of getting 5! Somebody correct me on my math, if that's wrong. Link to comment https://forums.kleientertainment.com/forums/topic/85530-my-rng-is-beyond-believable-lately/#findComment-984903 Share on other sites More sharing options...
landromat Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 26 minutes ago, Chromo said: Wow man, that's really cool! I did the math and even if you killed 272 Krampii (One for each day on the server) there is only a ~42% chance of getting 5! Somebody correct me on my math, if that's wrong. 0,15% Link to comment https://forums.kleientertainment.com/forums/topic/85530-my-rng-is-beyond-believable-lately/#findComment-984909 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Soulk Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 I wonder why is that you have the allrecipes command ON? xD Link to comment https://forums.kleientertainment.com/forums/topic/85530-my-rng-is-beyond-believable-lately/#findComment-984918 Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlZalph Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 2 hours ago, Chromo said: Wow man, that's really cool! I did the math and even if you killed 272 Krampii (One for each day on the server) there is only a ~42% chance of getting 5! Somebody correct me on my math, if that's wrong. I'm getting ~13.9% chance of this event happening as a cumulative probability. 272 events, 0.01 success probability, 5 successes. Link to comment https://forums.kleientertainment.com/forums/topic/85530-my-rng-is-beyond-believable-lately/#findComment-984939 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tylordian Posted December 18, 2017 Share Posted December 18, 2017 You have creative mode on... but I'll give you the benefit of the doubt. Nice luck! Link to comment https://forums.kleientertainment.com/forums/topic/85530-my-rng-is-beyond-believable-lately/#findComment-985013 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blurrykookaburr Posted December 18, 2017 Author Share Posted December 18, 2017 1 hour ago, Tylordian said: You have creative mode on... but I'll give you the benefit of the doubt. Nice luck! I use creative mostly for base building, but I seriously no cheating got 4 krampus sacks in two days. I was beyond stunned when they dropped each time. Link to comment https://forums.kleientertainment.com/forums/topic/85530-my-rng-is-beyond-believable-lately/#findComment-985028 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Soulk Posted December 18, 2017 Share Posted December 18, 2017 28 minutes ago, Blurrykookaburr said: I use creative mostly for base building  28 minutes ago, Blurrykookaburr said: but I seriously no cheating  yeah sure  Link to comment https://forums.kleientertainment.com/forums/topic/85530-my-rng-is-beyond-believable-lately/#findComment-985033 Share on other sites More sharing options...
cezarica Posted December 18, 2017 Share Posted December 18, 2017 Isn't it a 1% chance? Don't tell me you never found 2 gears in a single tumbleweed. I once did and the next two consecutive tumbleweeds found 1 gear in each. I tend to believe him, far stretched as his claim sounds. You got some serious RNG on your side buddy. Link to comment https://forums.kleientertainment.com/forums/topic/85530-my-rng-is-beyond-believable-lately/#findComment-985080 Share on other sites More sharing options...
FreyaMaluk Posted December 18, 2017 Share Posted December 18, 2017 19 hours ago, Blurrykookaburr said: Friday night I got my second and third krampus sack while farming feathers and last night I got my fourth and fifth. I was farming on forest turf surrounded by grass turf with a scarecrow set up. May help others to farm krampus faster, because I was getting tons of different types of birds spawning depending on where I stood. No I did not spawn any of these sacks in either. Â 16 hours ago, Soulk said: I wonder why is that you have the allrecipes command ON? xD Link to comment https://forums.kleientertainment.com/forums/topic/85530-my-rng-is-beyond-believable-lately/#findComment-985083 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chromo Posted December 18, 2017 Share Posted December 18, 2017 20 hours ago, CarlZalph said: I'm getting ~13.9% chance of this event happening as a cumulative probability. 272 events, 0.01 success probability, 5 successes. Hmm, I'm pretty sure in hindsight my maths was wrong, but I attempted the problem again. The probability of you getting 1 Sack is [1-(0.99^272)] To get the probability of the next Sack is [1-(0.99^271)] And so on and so on; after multiplying all five, I got 70.9%. (1-(0.99^272))*(1-(0.99^271))*(1-(0.99^270))*(1-(0.99^269))*(1-(0.99^268)) What was your method? Â ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Wow, that's... one hell of a base you've got there... Link to comment https://forums.kleientertainment.com/forums/topic/85530-my-rng-is-beyond-believable-lately/#findComment-985125 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Soulk Posted December 18, 2017 Share Posted December 18, 2017 1 hour ago, Chromo said: Hmm, I'm pretty sure in hindsight my maths was wrong, but I attempted the problem again. The probability of you getting 1 Sack is [1-(0.99^272)] To get the probability of the next Sack is [1-(0.99^271)] And so on and so on; after multiplying all five, I got 70.9%. (1-(0.99^272))*(1-(0.99^271))*(1-(0.99^270))*(1-(0.99^269))*(1-(0.99^268)) What was your method? Â ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Wow, that's... one hell of a base you've got there... with creative mode, that base is child play Link to comment https://forums.kleientertainment.com/forums/topic/85530-my-rng-is-beyond-believable-lately/#findComment-985142 Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlZalph Posted December 18, 2017 Share Posted December 18, 2017 2 hours ago, Chromo said: Hmm, I'm pretty sure in hindsight my maths was wrong, but I attempted the problem again. The probability of you getting 1 Sack is [1-(0.99^272)] To get the probability of the next Sack is [1-(0.99^271)] And so on and so on; after multiplying all five, I got 70.9%. (1-(0.99^272))*(1-(0.99^271))*(1-(0.99^270))*(1-(0.99^269))*(1-(0.99^268)) What was your method? let n = 272 let x = [0,5]; integers let p = 0.01 p(x) = (n!/(x!(n-x)!))*p^x*(1-p)^(n-x) p(0) = (272!/(0!(272-0)!))*0.01^0*(1-0.01)^(272-0) ~= 0.064978986098249810107797246343930713668744886511161435425 p(1) = (272!/(1!(272-1)!))*0.01^1*(1-0.01)^(272-1) ~= 0.178528123421454023730513646520698526443420294252887984199 p(2) = (272!/(2!(272-2)!))*0.01^2*(1-0.01)^(272-2) ~= 0.244349098218252729449339384884390407404883332032993150091 p(3) = (272!/(3!(272-3)!))*0.01^3*(1-0.01)^(272-3) ~= 0.222135543834775208590308531713082188549893938211811954628 p(4) = (272!/(4!(272-4)!))*0.01^4*(1-0.01)^(272-4) ~= 0.150895104271602351289881300582876537171518862068124787361 p(5) = (272!/(5!(272-5)!))*0.01^5*(1-0.01)^(272-5) ~= 0.081696743322806929587248865770123054468620313200520086894 p(x>=5) = 1-(p(0)+p(1)+p(2)+p(3)+p(4)) p(x>=5) ~= 0.139113144155665876832159889955021626761538686923020688296 So the odds of getting at least 5 sacks would be ~13.9%. The odds of getting exactly 5 would be ~8.1%. Link to comment https://forums.kleientertainment.com/forums/topic/85530-my-rng-is-beyond-believable-lately/#findComment-985149 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blurrykookaburr Posted December 18, 2017 Author Share Posted December 18, 2017 2 hours ago, Chromo said: Hmm, I'm pretty sure in hindsight my maths was wrong, but I attempted the problem again. The probability of you getting 1 Sack is [1-(0.99^272)] To get the probability of the next Sack is [1-(0.99^271)] And so on and so on; after multiplying all five, I got 70.9%. (1-(0.99^272))*(1-(0.99^271))*(1-(0.99^270))*(1-(0.99^269))*(1-(0.99^268)) What was your method?  ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Wow, that's... one hell of a base you've got there... I had one already, the 4 I got two at a time over two days. I had forest turf down surrounded by grass turf with a scarecrow set up. If I went to the edge of the forest turf and read birds of the world I got 3 types of birds spawning which made my naughtiness go up much faster. The only thing i used creative for was the chests. Didn't want to spend tons of time collecting items and end up with them burning and since the person I started the world with only comes in as Wicker to make the books for me, it's a solo world and farming scales is nearly impossible as Maxwell. 8 hours ago, cezarica said: Isn't it a 1% chance? Don't tell me you never found 2 gears in a single tumbleweed. I once did and the next two consecutive tumbleweeds found 1 gear in each. I tend to believe him, far stretched as his claim sounds. You got some serious RNG on your side buddy. No I haven't gotten that many gears in tumbleweed but it would be nice lol. I had 1 sack and ended up getting 4 more in two days. Was spectacular. Link to comment https://forums.kleientertainment.com/forums/topic/85530-my-rng-is-beyond-believable-lately/#findComment-985154 Share on other sites More sharing options...
CatBurger Posted December 18, 2017 Share Posted December 18, 2017 congratulations Link to comment https://forums.kleientertainment.com/forums/topic/85530-my-rng-is-beyond-believable-lately/#findComment-985156 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blurrykookaburr Posted December 18, 2017 Author Share Posted December 18, 2017 14 minutes ago, CatBurger said: congratulations Thank you. Link to comment https://forums.kleientertainment.com/forums/topic/85530-my-rng-is-beyond-believable-lately/#findComment-985158 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frodeur Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 farming scale impossible as maxwell ? ever heard off rabbit hutch ? Â Link to comment https://forums.kleientertainment.com/forums/topic/85530-my-rng-is-beyond-believable-lately/#findComment-985352 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blurrykookaburr Posted December 19, 2017 Author Share Posted December 19, 2017 1 hour ago, Frodeur said: farming scale impossible as maxwell ? ever heard off rabbit hutch ? Â How would I do that? If it will work then I am all for it, then I can replace my chests. Link to comment https://forums.kleientertainment.com/forums/topic/85530-my-rng-is-beyond-believable-lately/#findComment-985388 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frodeur Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 build 10 rabbit hutch near DF . Pull DF on the rabbit . Equip armor , equip hambat , press F , profit . Link to comment https://forums.kleientertainment.com/forums/topic/85530-my-rng-is-beyond-believable-lately/#findComment-985473 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blurrykookaburr Posted December 19, 2017 Author Share Posted December 19, 2017 7 hours ago, Frodeur said: build 10 rabbit hutch near DF . Pull DF on the rabbit . Equip armor , equip hambat , press F , profit . Thank you! I will try that. Link to comment https://forums.kleientertainment.com/forums/topic/85530-my-rng-is-beyond-believable-lately/#findComment-985622 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Soulk Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 use your creative mode for scaled chest xDDDDDDD Link to comment https://forums.kleientertainment.com/forums/topic/85530-my-rng-is-beyond-believable-lately/#findComment-985628 Share on other sites More sharing options...
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