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How mathematically lucky is this?


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The chance to get one Elegant skin plus three Distinguished skins in four rolls is 0.023 * 0.06 * 0.06 * 0.06 = 0.000004986. In other words, roughly 0.0005%.

 

Drop rate source: https://store.steampowered.com/news/app/322330/view/5314766837574368590

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